how strong can the yen get before the BOJ start buying dollars

here a overview



i think if it hits 75 .. or so , or do they let it drop under the 75 ??
i will act on 75 and then buy 66% dollars wait with the 33% until it drops a little bit more ..


at the moment silver and gold are doing strange things this will stabilize before new year i hope ..
this because of France and other country that have problems I hope the problem with France will be clear at the end of the year and thinks in America will also stabilize ..
also i hope the boj will interact before new year ..

if not 2012 will be very interesting ...

BOJ

http://www.cnbc.com/id/45314920
BOJ May Warn of Yen Rise Pain, EU; Policy Seen Steady

So it looks like when the yen is to strong the BOJ will step in again but this time bigger ..
at the moment the dollar is at 77 ..
I hope it can get as strong as 75 ... then I will buy dollars and wait for the BOJ to do there stuff hope they can bring it up to 90 or 85 this time ...

I also hope this will happen before 2012 and then use the yens for an investment into silver .. because that will be then suppressed by the BOJ intervention and will maybe starts with the path higher into 2012 ..

good new

looks like the yen is getting stronger and jp government will let it play out , this because they want to invest in euro zone so they will need a strong yen .
JP is also joining the TTP so a strong yen will be needed

if the dollar goes to 70 I will buy my dollars back and wait for the next intervention of the boj after the support of euro..
if japan plays it smart they can buy cheap into Europa they only need the yen loss and let it rise against the dollar and euro and then buy into Europa and the do an boj intervention for there export.
if they will do the intervention I think the silver and gold price will go down with 5% I think this will happen at end of Q2 or middle Q3 of 2012 ..
so I will look to buy at 70 and then sell after the intervention .. will end up at 79 or so I will make 10% and then buy new silver ..

I expect silver to rise the next 4 months and then after these 4 months expect a scarp drop again this will be caused by a combination of the japanese deal to support Europa and quickly after this the BOJ intervention and the problems in Italia and greece these will also become bigger in 4 months, the BOJ alone can make silver drop 10% and I think Europa will also force the sliver and gold price down .. if Italian sell there gold to china gold will drop a lot ..
so i expect silver and gold to go to new record in the comming 4 months also in the winter gold and silver will do better .. I hope silver will go to 60 and gold around 2300.

then if the bubble ends I will sell silver and wait until the bottom to buy silver again .. i need to look now in what I will invest the money when I go out of silver and in to cash .. I need to look which currency is the best

So now the following is important
how high can the yen go ??
70 to the dollar ?
how fast can silver go up and gold in time before the Japanese intervention and the real problems in Europa.
Also we need to look at America if they will not start printing extra dollars.
and look what china and the silent rusia are doing ..
2012 will be interesting, it will be a time of big opportunities but also loss of money hope I will be on the correct side of the coin : ).

so if i am lucky I can make some profit with silver and then buy dollars cheap and wait for a BOJ intervention and buy silver cheap again
I think this will work only one time after this , at the end of 2012 the dollar will drop and the euro and chine will take over the gold and silver market and will push it to new hights..

italia gold/silver and dollar/yen

Today Italia went over the 7% so they will become a problem for the euro and this country is 17% of the euro zone.
Italia is the number 7 country holding gold.
what happened today was that gold went down but also the stock market..
the strange thing is that the gold in dollars went down but in yen went up .
also it went upgain after this dip , I expect it will go more up in the next days.

As i can see the bounds and stocks are linked to the gold prize , but this is only with big news of movements in the market. the strange thing is that they are in line so stocks go down then gold also goes down , but later gold goes up .. if stocks does down ..
I think Italia can be helped by china , because of there gold .. but what will this do to the gold price ... i think it will go up .. also German will not use there gold to exchange to money ... this is also a good sign that gold is getting more important
also at the moment gold is going to its old high ... 1800 but silver stays far under the 40/50 at the moment, I think silver will make the move to 40 soon with a big leap ..
silver will not go under the 30 again if I look at the history..

So now waiting what Italia will do and if china will step in ..
if this will happen silver will go up together with gold
I also think if silver leaps to 45 then it will go into a small bubble again ..
gold will go slowly up ..

ps strange, is that now the price of silver is lower as yesterday (store), so the dollar yen exchange has a very strange effect on the silver trade .

yen and dollar

o.k the prize of the yen/dollar is now stabilized at 78 .. and now slowly dropping again ..

silver is dropping again .. this because of the long weekend and the problems in Greece.. I will wait for a big drop and then step in ..
after this investment i will hold my money because there is an opportunity to buy some cheap land l can buy here in Japan ..

so one of these they will come the last dip and then go up again ..

dollars

small update

I have sold my dollars .. yesterday
at 77.59 today it went up to almost 79 but I think it will go now slowly down to 75 again ..
silver looks to go to the Resistance of 35 dollar but is now just below 35 and may is going to make a little dip before it goes true the 35 dollar ..
so I will wait until end of this/ next week to buy silver ..

the stock market made a rally but is now slowing down .. also my old infa stock is going down now .. , also the silver on ebay is getting a higher prize ..
so I hope people will go in gold/silver after this stock bubble .. this will push the price of silver higher ..
I expect this to happen in 1 or 2 weeks ..
then also the curve is inline with the graph ... and that we will enter a up trend for the the next 2 months in silver and gold ...

This upwards trend will also be supported by the problems in Europa .. this will push the yen up and the silver and gold prizes also as people will leave the investments of the governments note (oblig) .. and go in the stock market and commodities so silver and gold will make a jump ..
I also expect that there will be some interventions with the yen again .. but also with the euro and the dollar as these currencies are making a race to the the cheapest one .
Also need to watch out what Russia an china will and are doing ..



so I am wait now for the right moment to buy silver ..
also how much much I buy ...

I will look at the dollar price and look if it goes up or not ??
but I think it will not go to 85 or so , so maybe I will lose some money with this transaction but I hope to make it good with the silver rally ..
the raise in dollar can only be 20 % but that of silver can be 100% in 1 year .. so now was a nice time to switch , with the Japanese intervention .. now looking to silver when to step in at the right moment

long time no see..

In the meantime I have invested in silver .. because the market is more moving (20%) then gold (5%) market , gold will go up but slowly and is too much controlled buy the governments.

I have analyzed the data and I see there is a dip now and this dip will continue until next month and midway of the month.
The silver prize is expected to rise again to 40 dollar or higher, I bought already silver at around 32 dollar but the trick is now to buy at the lowest point I think that will between now and the 10 of November around 28 dollar or 26 dollar looking at the graph ..
If I calculate correctly (with a simple method of looking at history prize) the next dip can come at the beginning of next year or it will keep rising because of world events. I think the last will be more probability.. so maybe there will not come a new opportunity to buy silver again

At the moment the yen is ready to go lower!! and the dollar is expected to go up ??]
yes a little strange but this is how it looks... (just inverted as you would think)

But I will step out of my dollar soon to step over at the dip of the silver prize and ride the wild ride up ... of the silver market.. I expect to get a higher return on silver then the dollar yen exchange.

There can also be a world crises and then the silver prize will drop more around 10 Nov, so a lot is up to what happens around Nov. if it goes up around 10 Nov and the rise is strongly, I will buy more silver..
And hope to double my investment in 3 or 5 months.. then the trick is to look for the next bubble top and look at a dip in gold so i can switch to increase my metal by selling on highs and buying on dips ..

So this will be a very interesting game and can give a lot of returns ..
if the gold and silver prize will rise fast it is now the time to step into the market. You must invest a good amount of money to get a good return , so Yes it is risky but in these time your bank-account and the currency is also a risky situation, so now I will have more control about my own money than a bank account with 0% .. interest

also I will learn a lot in a short time about commodities and have some knowledge about the market, also useful for my future work ..

my future vision for the moment is that the wall-street demonstration is now just at its beginning ... how big it can get is unclear but a lot will change .. as already spoken before the wealth transfer to the east is now on its way .. so investing in metal is a good idea..
I think at the end we will end up in a world with no currency exchange.. os one currency or no currency at all.. but before that time you can make a lot of money .. and in the end you must buy property of cause .. a small farm or so ...

also nice to see and to kill sometime is the movie "rollover" from 1981 search you-tube.. now replace the Arabic by china and then you will have very interesting story ..

You can see that some countries are looking at there gold ... Cuba.. and you see that trade is limited now in the USA.. I luckily have a silver/gold melting plant in my neighborhood. So getting real silver fast is not a problem or exchange it in gold ..
If I look at internet I can see how much gold every countries has but silver I cant find the data about silver I only found a report from around 1928 1944 or-so ..

So silver is still a big mystery but the industry use will only increase because of china .. so it will gain value .. overtime but the question how much .. and how fast
also there is a big hype about silver at the moment what only increase the investors in silver and so increase a chance of a rally up .. also these investors will take silver off the market that is there plan .. because they see it as gold as new currency .. of-cause you must jump from commodities to other commodities if they have dips to get the max on your returns .. so at the moment there are extra changes to make some money ..
I think silver will not become a new currency this because of the production of silver and its industry demand, these two facts are preventing it to become a currency, then gold is a better solution.. So silver will be no money in the future but it will increase in value and maybe become more valued in the future, don't forget that the ink in your ink printer is very expensive a mm liter, so I also think silver can become more valued because of the solar power and electronics use.

so lets the theory get in practice and look if I can use my future view to get some returns..

also the future of the euro and dollar is now on the edge ... and china is looking from a save place whats happens .. they are in the best position ..

also the nature is running wild and at the moment there are many water problems in Thailand and all over the world.. what will have a effect on Nikon and other production companies that are working there or near coast cities.]
I think there will be more nature effect that will have mayor impact on the market

Also the radiations problems in Japan will still have effects in Japan and around the region.. But for the moment it good to look at the dollar , silver and euro dollar market.. these are really behaving strange and it is good to analyze what is moving where and why ..

I think China will stay passive and let euro first clean up there stuff but if they see a opportunity to make money or take over a production they will step in .. it will not a maze me if they will try to buy up the gold of Italy and Spain ...
In Euro land the storm is still not over I even think now that Russia will get a bigger roll in solving the issues this is the plan of Russia
I see Russia an Europa union as a possibility.. this will become the biggest power in the world.. because of the resources and the big internal market
two dogs (USA / china) fight over one bone and number 3 (Russia/Europa) walks with it a way.. that is now how it looks...

Also it will be a bad plan for Japan to join the ttp, the trade organization of the USA .. where Korea already is a member of ..
The best for japan will be to be neutral as long as possible so it can switch positions at the last ... so it can benefit the most of its position now and later..

so it is again very interesting to live in these time .. but now get some advance of the developments in the markets ..
lets hope my visions are correct and I can invest even more in the future and get that farm ..