maandag 31 oktober 2011

dollars

small update

I have sold my dollars .. yesterday
at 77.59 today it went up to almost 79 but I think it will go now slowly down to 75 again ..
silver looks to go to the Resistance of 35 dollar but is now just below 35 and may is going to make a little dip before it goes true the 35 dollar ..
so I will wait until end of this/ next week to buy silver ..

the stock market made a rally but is now slowing down .. also my old infa stock is going down now .. , also the silver on ebay is getting a higher prize ..
so I hope people will go in gold/silver after this stock bubble .. this will push the price of silver higher ..
I expect this to happen in 1 or 2 weeks ..
then also the curve is inline with the graph ... and that we will enter a up trend for the the next 2 months in silver and gold ...

This upwards trend will also be supported by the problems in Europa .. this will push the yen up and the silver and gold prizes also as people will leave the investments of the governments note (oblig) .. and go in the stock market and commodities so silver and gold will make a jump ..
I also expect that there will be some interventions with the yen again .. but also with the euro and the dollar as these currencies are making a race to the the cheapest one .
Also need to watch out what Russia an china will and are doing ..



so I am wait now for the right moment to buy silver ..
also how much much I buy ...

I will look at the dollar price and look if it goes up or not ??
but I think it will not go to 85 or so , so maybe I will lose some money with this transaction but I hope to make it good with the silver rally ..
the raise in dollar can only be 20 % but that of silver can be 100% in 1 year .. so now was a nice time to switch , with the Japanese intervention .. now looking to silver when to step in at the right moment

donderdag 20 oktober 2011

long time no see..

In the meantime I have invested in silver .. because the market is more moving (20%) then gold (5%) market , gold will go up but slowly and is too much controlled buy the governments.

I have analyzed the data and I see there is a dip now and this dip will continue until next month and midway of the month.
The silver prize is expected to rise again to 40 dollar or higher, I bought already silver at around 32 dollar but the trick is now to buy at the lowest point I think that will between now and the 10 of November around 28 dollar or 26 dollar looking at the graph ..
If I calculate correctly (with a simple method of looking at history prize) the next dip can come at the beginning of next year or it will keep rising because of world events. I think the last will be more probability.. so maybe there will not come a new opportunity to buy silver again

At the moment the yen is ready to go lower!! and the dollar is expected to go up ??]
yes a little strange but this is how it looks... (just inverted as you would think)

But I will step out of my dollar soon to step over at the dip of the silver prize and ride the wild ride up ... of the silver market.. I expect to get a higher return on silver then the dollar yen exchange.

There can also be a world crises and then the silver prize will drop more around 10 Nov, so a lot is up to what happens around Nov. if it goes up around 10 Nov and the rise is strongly, I will buy more silver..
And hope to double my investment in 3 or 5 months.. then the trick is to look for the next bubble top and look at a dip in gold so i can switch to increase my metal by selling on highs and buying on dips ..

So this will be a very interesting game and can give a lot of returns ..
if the gold and silver prize will rise fast it is now the time to step into the market. You must invest a good amount of money to get a good return , so Yes it is risky but in these time your bank-account and the currency is also a risky situation, so now I will have more control about my own money than a bank account with 0% .. interest

also I will learn a lot in a short time about commodities and have some knowledge about the market, also useful for my future work ..

my future vision for the moment is that the wall-street demonstration is now just at its beginning ... how big it can get is unclear but a lot will change .. as already spoken before the wealth transfer to the east is now on its way .. so investing in metal is a good idea..
I think at the end we will end up in a world with no currency exchange.. os one currency or no currency at all.. but before that time you can make a lot of money .. and in the end you must buy property of cause .. a small farm or so ...

also nice to see and to kill sometime is the movie "rollover" from 1981 search you-tube.. now replace the Arabic by china and then you will have very interesting story ..

You can see that some countries are looking at there gold ... Cuba.. and you see that trade is limited now in the USA.. I luckily have a silver/gold melting plant in my neighborhood. So getting real silver fast is not a problem or exchange it in gold ..
If I look at internet I can see how much gold every countries has but silver I cant find the data about silver I only found a report from around 1928 1944 or-so ..

So silver is still a big mystery but the industry use will only increase because of china .. so it will gain value .. overtime but the question how much .. and how fast
also there is a big hype about silver at the moment what only increase the investors in silver and so increase a chance of a rally up .. also these investors will take silver off the market that is there plan .. because they see it as gold as new currency .. of-cause you must jump from commodities to other commodities if they have dips to get the max on your returns .. so at the moment there are extra changes to make some money ..
I think silver will not become a new currency this because of the production of silver and its industry demand, these two facts are preventing it to become a currency, then gold is a better solution.. So silver will be no money in the future but it will increase in value and maybe become more valued in the future, don't forget that the ink in your ink printer is very expensive a mm liter, so I also think silver can become more valued because of the solar power and electronics use.

so lets the theory get in practice and look if I can use my future view to get some returns..

also the future of the euro and dollar is now on the edge ... and china is looking from a save place whats happens .. they are in the best position ..

also the nature is running wild and at the moment there are many water problems in Thailand and all over the world.. what will have a effect on Nikon and other production companies that are working there or near coast cities.]
I think there will be more nature effect that will have mayor impact on the market

Also the radiations problems in Japan will still have effects in Japan and around the region.. But for the moment it good to look at the dollar , silver and euro dollar market.. these are really behaving strange and it is good to analyze what is moving where and why ..

I think China will stay passive and let euro first clean up there stuff but if they see a opportunity to make money or take over a production they will step in .. it will not a maze me if they will try to buy up the gold of Italy and Spain ...
In Euro land the storm is still not over I even think now that Russia will get a bigger roll in solving the issues this is the plan of Russia
I see Russia an Europa union as a possibility.. this will become the biggest power in the world.. because of the resources and the big internal market
two dogs (USA / china) fight over one bone and number 3 (Russia/Europa) walks with it a way.. that is now how it looks...

Also it will be a bad plan for Japan to join the ttp, the trade organization of the USA .. where Korea already is a member of ..
The best for japan will be to be neutral as long as possible so it can switch positions at the last ... so it can benefit the most of its position now and later..

so it is again very interesting to live in these time .. but now get some advance of the developments in the markets ..
lets hope my visions are correct and I can invest even more in the future and get that farm ..